golf digest picks: this week
Already one of the most prestigious events on the schedule, the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational gets official elevated status and a $20 million purse. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be The guy has kept the hot streak going in casual rounds, as our guy Doug Smith can attest to, and so I think this is the perfect, low-key field for Finau to add yet another W. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest assistant editor: Tom Hoge (30-1, DraftKings) Hoge is absolutely tearing it up this Fall, finishing T-13 or better in all four starts hes made. 2023 Sony Open First Round Leader Picks: Can J.T. Sure, many factors contribute to success and not all performers are defined by them, but the 2023 body of evidence already includes the likes of Eric Cole (P2), Ben Martin (T5) and Carson Young (T29), each of whom with attention-getting performances at PGA National last week. Hes lost a combined 12.9 strokes/putting over his past two weight starts. Both of those weeks ended in a top 10 for Todd. Hes working on a four-year streak of top-10 finishes, including a runner-up in 2019. McClure has also locked in a slew of other prop bets for the the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, including a long shot listed at 100-1 to win it all. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. Mayo: Emiliano Grillo (+270, DraftKings) The CJ Cup wasnt kind to Grillo, but now hes back at a happy place. Immaculate; inching back to peak levels. Day, a 12-time PGA Tour winner, has three straight top-10 finishes and has yet to finish worse than 18th place in 2023. TPC Summerlin 8. This season, Zalatoris ranks 28th in birdie percentage, while his partner, Riley, is tied for 23rd. Collin Morikawa ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Collin Morikawa (16-1, FanDuel) El Camaleon should suit Morikawa very well. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Kevin Streelman (+900, Bet365) The off-the-tee and approach numbers are top 15 in this field over the past 24 rounds, per Fantasy National, so Streelman should give himself plenty of chances. Rob Bolton is a Golfbet columnist for the PGA TOUR. Following the first round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Pierceson Coody is in 82nd position with a score of +2.In the Sports Scores and Odds Hub Hes getting by with the putter, and thats likely not enough this week against a top-heavy field. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned almost $1,100. and synopsis provided by Jason Rouslin. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Caddie: Jason Day (45-1, DraftKings) Theres something quietly brewing right now with the former World No. How to Sports Bet 101: What is a Point Spread? He is playing well against elite fields and has proven that he can contend and win in any tournament he enters. Other top contenders in the Arnold Palmer field include Rory McIlroy (19-2), Scottie Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander Schauffele (24-1) and Will Zalatoris (24-1). His usually reliable driver has let him down, and he hasnt been as precise on his second shots. MLB Power Rankings + Sports Betting Model, 2022 Best Ball Rankings/Projections for Underdog, DraftKings, FFPC and Yahoo. Detry certainly seems to be building toward something big. Powers, Golf Digest: Davis Riley (+650, DraftKings) Riley has fallen out of favor with the gambling community of late thanks to some so-so results, but his irons have still been cooking. One surprising pick from McDonald this week: The expert is strongly fading Schauffele, who could struggle even if he is healthy. He tied for 25th in 2022, and he has been a different player since then. Even at 38 years of age, hes consistently among the longest hitters off the tee, and because of that, hes among the most accurate on approach. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for , where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for , the Score and GolfWRX. Ryan Palmer has a new partner this time around after playing with Jon Rahm for the past few seasons (and Jordan Spieth before him). Hes separating himself from fields via his strong iron play but has left some room for improvement on the greens. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Fitzpatrick has been candid about dealing with a neck injury over the course of the past few weeks. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at Rory McIlroy, No. Jon Rahm (8/1) Keyur Khamar. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and The other was Stuart Appleby, who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2004, 2005 and 2006. Learn the game and know the odds. Powers, Golf Digest: Maverick McNealy (18-1, DraftKings) McNealy is on a streak of three consecutive top-20 finishes, but its all thanks to a scorching hot putter. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Hes now played 12 times this season, making the cut in 10 starts while earning six finishes of T-32 or better. Despite the struggles, hes not that far off. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. Noren has missed the last two cuts at elevated events by a total of three strokes. He gained 8.42 strokes putting at the Honda Classic. Bay Hill will challenge golfers from tee to green and demand precision on and around the greens. 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship Sleepers: How to Bet Hideki Matsuyama, Corey Conners & Matt Kuchar, Join Stokastic Plus and Team with the #1 DFS Player, 2023 Honda Classic DFS Picks & Core Plays: Jhonattan Vegas Has Value, 2023 Honda Classic PGA DFS Targets: Christiaan Bezuidenhout the Ultimate Boom/Bust Play, PGA DFS Optimizer Picks Honda Classic: Shane Lowry One of Few High-End Options in Limited Field. World No. WebPGA Tour betting predictions, tips, analysis and best picks surrounding PGA Tour events, including outright, PGA Tour prop bets and much more. Torrey Pines South 5. His best finish was a seventh-place finish in 2021, so he should be brimming with good vibes here. Hes been much improved with the flatstick, gaining strokes in nine of 14 starts. 7:52 am ET, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald, You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis, You can see who he is backing this week at The American Express 2023 at SportsLine, You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine, visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, 2023 American Express odds, field, expert picks, bets, Spieth among chasers at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win. As Joel Beall of Golf Digest noted, the video compilation show Worlds Funniest Animals also aired on Saturday drew more viewers than LIV Golf did. Scottie Scheffler could be among the top daily Fantasy golf picks this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. That will undoubtedly change soon, but Im not ready to bet on it at single-digit odds. Now he gets to battle a much weaker field, where he should be able to separate himself more frequently. Yes, hes first in SG/total. SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. I was excited to see Englishs T-12 last week at Riviera until I saw the 8.8 strokes he gained puttingthe best putting performance of his career, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. All Rights Reserved. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to, From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: Lee Alldrick of FanShare Sports started out writing an article highlighting the best bargain plays for fantasy golf under his twitter handle @DKGolfBargains. Hes combining solid approach play with a hot putter to throw his name into the mix more consistently. Mayo is on the board of governors at www.fantasynational.com. Kevin Tway ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,100 FanDuel). One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Bezuidenhout is one of the few players in the field who teed it up at the Honda Classic last week, finishing T-42. 1 Scottie Scheffler is back in action and back in his rightful spot as the solo favorite. TPC Scottsdale 3. Sepp Straka (T-35, T-30, T-3), Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc. He nailed the Houston Open, backing Tony Finau to win at 25-1, and is up almost seven units on his plays overall, a profit of nearly $700 for $100 bettors. Though playing from the fairway is important, the course regression model at RickRunGood.com indicates that clubhead speed is more indicative of successonly six other courses were more correlated to success last year. The uncommon paspalum greens could level the playing field for him as a putter, and that could boost him up big time. If he can just stop losing a billion strokes off the tee each week, hell become a popular play again. Montgomerys putter has cooled off, and hes been exposed a bit in the elevated events. If he can just make a few putts, which is conceivable on the slow, paspalum greens, his irons and accuracy should have him hoisting a novelty check. Matt Fitzpatrick might be coming back down to earth after his US Open win so take Jon Rahm to beat the Englishman in a 72-hole match bet at -130 DraftKings Hovland stepped up to the tee at the par-3 No. Like the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, the annual trip to New Orleans is a great change of pace. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Rahm, who won this tournament in 2018 and rallied for victory in his last outing at the Sentry, is the 11-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook's latest The American Express 2023 odds. TPC Louisiana | Par 72 | 7,425 yards | Pete Dye design, TPC Louisiana in Avondale, Louisiana. Take me to the Rocket League category page! (Photo: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports). Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+550, FanDuel) Ill take the easy pick with Rahm this week. We run 1000s simulations for every PGA Tour event to predict the most likely outcomes and find value against the sportsbooks. 13 in the Power Rankings for The Honda Classic, he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. Im is clearly the class of this field, and hes a past champion for good reason. Hes top 10 in driving accuracy over the past year, according to datagolf, and hes second in SG/approach in that span, as well. Prizepicks + Stokastic Promo Get a Free Month! NOT GREAT, BOB!!!! Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, and find out. Thats the recipe for his two top 10s and no finish worse than 22nd in three starts. Shriners: Sungjae Im. He gained strokes across the board and has shown significant improvements with the putter in recent months. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long- and short-form content, owner of the Mayo Media Network and host of The Pat Mayo Experience. 1 DFS Player. Corey Conners ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). McIlroy disappointed with a T-32 in Phoenix and T-29 in Los Angeles, but his advanced metrics tell a different story. His last eight starts have all been T-13 or better with five top-five finishes. 1 ranking to Rory McIlroy, but he has not really been himself since Sunday at East Lake. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Stadium Course at PGA West, Trending: 1. So what 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks should you target this week? RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Rory McIlroy ($10,600 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). We picked our first winner of the new season at the CJ Cup, with Lee Alldrick correctly predicting Rory McIlroys victory at Congaree at 7-1. Before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own,be sure to check out the PGA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine golf expert Mike McClure. Hes had the best short game of anyone in this field over the past 50 rounds, so that should no longer be a concern. Hennessey: Viktor Hovland An easy case to make to roll with the two-time defending champ. Hopefully he can ride his sterling swing-season form, pick up another win and make things right with El Tucan. Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. Sports Betting Legality Map His game looks close, finishing T-5 at the Zozo Championship and T-21 at the CJ Cup in his only two PGA Tour starts this season. Not surprisingly, the Mississippian ranked third in the field by average 14 greens in regulation per round. Listen to the Twilight 9 podcast! Now hell head to Bay Hill with little experience to bank on. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Luke List Anytime (every time?) Betting Preview for the Euro Tour: A quick hitter article for some Euro Tour action provided by both Ben Rasa and Jason Rouslin. Hes played four times this yearmissing the cut in Phoenix but earning a runner-up, third place finish and T-6 in his three other starts. McDonald also has been on the money on his matchup plays and cashed in huge on Brendan Steele (80-1) as the first-round leader at the Zozo Championship. You can only see his Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets at SportsLine. Hes also likely to lose a lot of strokes puttinglike he did at Riviera (losing seven strokes/putting), making it 17 straight events losing with that club. Before you lock in any 2023 American Express picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. Its that kind of formula that yielded his breakthrough victory at Torrey Pines of all places. The final round will be played on PGA West's Stadium Course after a 54-hole cut. Alex Noren ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel). Play with trusted, licensed operators. This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Theyre both inside the top 30 this season in birdie average. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. McNealys longer than he is accurate, and the irons arent particularly great. He played here last year and posted a very impressive 22nd-place finish on his first attempt here at El Camaleon. RELATED:LIV Golf loses ratings battle to Worlds Funniest Animals? Gdula: Tony Finau (-118) over Aaron Wise (FanDuel) Finau is by far the best in the field over the past 20 rounds, and even using past-year data with recency adjustments, my head-to-head model thinks Finau should be around -135 in this matchup over Wise. This site is strictly intended for adults (18+) Jon Rahm +550Patrick Cantlay +950Scottie Scheffler +1100Tony Finau +1500Xander Schauffele +1900Will Zalatoris +1900Tom Kim +2000Sungjae Im +2100Cameron Young +2100Sam Burns +2900Si Woo Kim +2900Brian Harman +3400Aaron Wise +4200Tom Hoge +4200Taylor Montgomery +4500Cameron Davis +4800J.T. 2023 Honda Classic Best Bets & Predictions: Fade Matt Kuchar? There is trouble lurking off nearly every tee shot, and youll certainly see a few big numbers this week. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Hes gained strokes with the flatstick in six of his last seven measured events. Rounds 1 and 3: Best ball The Honda Classic is the first stop, and although. After one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory, the PGA Tour kicks off its Florida Swing this week at the Honda Classic.